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The market rates Manchester United as most likely at about 42% after removing the margin. The best price is 2.33 at Matchbook after commission, which pays 4.6% more than the average of 2.23. Payouts range from 91.8% to 98.1% across 16 bookmakers, so shopping around matters here.
Prices updated . Check the price at the bookmaker before you bet. Average and Fair price use sportsbooks only. Exchange prices are shown before commission; best-price highlights, Highest and Payout use the price after standard commission, and availability depends on liquidity.
Prices from bookmakers operating in the United Kingdom, best payout first. Click a price to add it to your coupon; highlighted = highest price for that outcome; ▲▼ compare the current price with the first price we recorded, and hovering over a price lists every change since. Payout = 1 / sum of implied probabilities. New to this? How payout works. Prices are shown for information only in your location.
Stats & trends · last 10 matches, all competitions
Manchester UnitedAston Villa
2/10Won5/10
1.1Goals scored per game1.9
1.7Goals conceded per game1.5
4/10Over 2.5 goals8/10
5/10Both teams scored6/10
1/10Clean sheets2/10
Manchester United at home
WLDLW
2W 1D 2L · 8–7
Aston Villa away
LLWWW
3W 0D 2L · 7–10
Results from TheSportsDB, before kick-off. Past results do not predict the next one.
Premier League table · 2026–2027
updated 13 Nov
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
Form
9
Leeds United
10
3
5
2
+2
14
WLDDL
10
Aston Villa
10
3
4
3
-3
13
DDWWD
11
Tottenham Hotspur
10
3
3
4
-1
12
LWWWD
⋯
17
Coventry City
10
3
0
7
-9
9
LWLLW
18
Manchester United
10
1
5
4
-5
8
DLLDD
19
Sunderland
10
2
2
6
-9
8
WLDLL
Show the full table (20 teams)Show less
#
Team
P
W
D
L
GD
Pts
Form
1
Arsenal
10
9
0
1
+10
27
WWWWW
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationFrom TheSportsDB · Premier League odds
AI Match brief
Market insights · 1X2fair prices from 16 bookmakers
Best-price payout 98.1%. Taking the best price on every outcome returns £98.10 per £100.00 staked, which shows how tight the market is. Average payout across bookmakers: 93.9%.
Market movement · 1 snapshot
Opening prices were recorded on 1 Nov, 14:59. The movement chart appears once prices have been refreshed again.
96.6%
94.7%
94.4%
94.2%
93.8%
93.7%
93.5%
93.5%
92.8%
92.8%
91.8%
91.8%
91.8%
2
Brighton and Hove Albion
10
7
1
2
+19
22
WWLWW
3
Manchester City
10
7
0
3
+8
21
LLLWW
4
Liverpool
10
5
3
2
+4
18
WLWWL
5
Chelsea
10
5
1
4
+3
16
LWLWW
6
Everton
10
4
4
2
+2
16
WWLLD
7
Bournemouth
10
4
3
3
+2
15
WWWWL
8
Brentford
10
3
5
2
+5
14
LWDLD
9
Leeds United
10
3
5
2
+2
14
WLDDL
10
Aston Villa
10
3
4
3
-3
13
DDWWD
11
Tottenham Hotspur
10
3
3
4
-1
12
LWWWD
12
Newcastle United
10
3
3
4
-3
12
DLWLL
13
Hull City
10
2
5
3
0
11
LDDLD
14
Ipswich Town
10
3
2
5
-5
11
LDDLW
15
Fulham
10
2
4
4
-2
10
DDWWL
16
Nottingham Forest
10
2
3
5
-4
9
WLDLL
17
Coventry City
10
3
0
7
-9
9
LWLLW
18
Manchester United
10
1
5
4
-5
8
DLLDD
19
Sunderland
10
2
2
6
-9
8
WLDLL
20
Crystal Palace
10
2
1
7
-14
7
LLLLW
AI Match briefwritten
United favoured at home but Villa price offers the widest gap
The 1X2 market makes Manchester United the favourite at about 42%, with Aston Villa at about 33% and the draw at about 26%. The best prices on all three outcomes sit at Matchbook, an exchange, so those quotes are after commission. Even there, none of the three outcomes offers positive value against the fair price.
FavouriteManchester United are the clear favourite at about 42%, roughly nine percentage points ahead of Aston Villa on about 33%.
Best priceThe best home price is 2.33 at Matchbook, an exchange price after commission, against an average of 2.23.
DisagreementThe away side shows the widest spread, from 2.80 to a best of 3.06, so shopping around matters most there.
PayoutAcross the 16 bookmakers the market pays back between about 92% and 98%, with the top end at Matchbook.
ValueAll three best prices fall short of fair value, with edges between -1% and -3%, so no outcome is a value call on these numbers.
Best price right now: Aston Villa at 3.06 with Matchbook after commission · 6.6% above the average bookmaker
Written by AI from the 16 bookmaker prices on this page, not from team news, and not a prediction. Prices move; check the price at the bookmaker before you bet.
Form & head-to-head · before kick-off
Manchester United
3 NovHRomaUCL3–2W
31 OctAChelseaPrem0–2L
25 OctHBournemouthPrem0–3L
21 OctAComoUCL1–4L
18 OctALeeds UnitedPrem1–1D
Aston Villa
3 NovABarcelonaUCL0–3L
31 OctHFulhamPrem1–1D
28 OctABournemouthEFL Cup0–3L
24 OctHManchester CityPrem2–1W
21 Oct
Head-to-head · last 10 meetings
5 Manchester United2 drawsAston Villa 3
2.7 goals per meeting · over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 · both scored in 6 of 10
15 Mar 26Manchester United3–1Aston VillaPrem
21 Dec 25Aston Villa2–1Manchester UnitedPrem
25 May 25Manchester United2–0Aston VillaPrem
6 Oct 24Aston Villa
Results from TheSportsDB. Closing prices are our own records.
Manchester UnitedAston Villa
