Rayo Vallecano v Valencia

Rayo Vallecano favoured at home over Valencia

The 1X2 market makes 2.00 at Betfred the best price on a Rayo Vallecano win, with the chance of that outcome priced at about 48%. Valencia are the outsiders at a best of 4.04 with Smarkets, an exchange price after commission, and the draw sits between them at 3.55 with the same bookmaker. Shopping around matters here because the best prices sit well above the average on all three outcomes.

• FavouriteRayo Vallecano are the clear market pick at about 48%, well ahead of the draw on about 27% and Valencia on about 25%.
• Best priceThe best home price is 2.00 with Betfred, while the best draw price of 3.55 and the best away price of 4.04 are both exchange prices after commission with Smarkets.
• DisagreementBookmakers are split from 1.83 to 2.00 on Rayo Vallecano, from 3.25 to 3.55 on the draw and from 3.50 to 4.04 on Valencia, so the widest gap is on the away side.
• MovementValencia have drifted at several bookmakers, including Sky Bet from 3.60 to 3.90, a move of 8%, while Rayo Vallecano shortened 1% and the draw barely moved.
• PayoutThe best combined payout across the three outcomes is about 96% with Smarkets, against about 88% at the tightest bookmaker, and no outcome offers a positive edge.

Written by AI from the 18 bookmaker prices on this page, not from team news, and not a prediction. Prices move; check the price at the bookmaker before you bet.