Value bets
Prices above our estimate of the fair price. For every market we average all bookmakers, remove the margin to estimate each outcome's fair chance, and list any price paying more than that. Bookmakers in the United States; click a price to add it to your coupon.
- Fair price
- We average each outcome's price across sportsbooks, then remove the margin so a market's chances add up to 100%. That estimate is the fair price.
- Edge
- Price × fair chance − 1. +4% means the price pays about 4% more than the market's consensus says it should, over a very large number of bets.
- What we filter out
- Only outcomes priced by 4+ bookmakers count. Edges above +30% are hidden because they are usually stale prices.
- What it does not mean
- A value bet is not a likely winner. The consensus can be wrong, prices move, bookmakers can limit stakes, and even a real edge can lose for long stretches.